{
  "dataset": "Global Import-Export Route Risk Monitor (1995-2024)",
  "description": "Exporter-importer route summaries covering current trade, product-level risk counts, demand and concentration measures, trade access, and buyer-market context.",
  "coverage": "1995-2024 annual observations where available",
  "rowMeaning": "one exporter-importer country pair",
  "includes": [
    "Current trade and values associated with route signals",
    "Product concentration, volatility, and drawdown measures",
    "Tariffs, agreement, distance, and selected buyer-market indicators"
  ],
  "metricDefinitions": [
    "CAGR is the compound annual growth rate across a multi-year period.",
    "HHI summarizes concentration; higher values indicate activity is concentrated among fewer participants.",
    "Fields marked USD are monetary values denominated in US dollars.",
    "Count fields report the number of items named in the field, such as products, partners, or routes.",
    "Values ending in pp are percentage-point changes.",
    "Values ending in pct are percentages.",
    "Country fields ending in ISO3 use three-letter ISO 3166-1 country codes."
  ],
  "columns": [
    "exporter_iso3",
    "importer_iso3",
    "all_history_lane_count",
    "current_lane_count",
    "current_product_count",
    "first_observed_last_year",
    "latest_data_year",
    "current_trade_usd",
    "attention_trade_usd",
    "critical_trade_usd",
    "high_volatility_trade_usd",
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd",
    "declining_demand_trade_usd",
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd",
    "access_friction_trade_usd",
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd",
    "critical_lane_count",
    "high_attention_lane_count",
    "high_volatility_lane_count",
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count",
    "declining_demand_lane_count",
    "concentrated_market_lane_count",
    "access_friction_lane_count",
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv",
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct",
    "product_hhi_numerator",
    "top3_product_trade_usd",
    "top_product_hs6",
    "top_product_trade_usd",
    "top_product_description",
    "top_attention_product_hs6",
    "top_attention_product_reason",
    "distance_km",
    "shares_land_border",
    "shares_official_language",
    "common_spoken_language_score",
    "has_reported_fta",
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct",
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct",
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct",
    "tariff_advantage_pp",
    "buyer_biz_entry_days",
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest",
    "buyer_population_latest",
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct",
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct",
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label",
    "attention_trade_share_pct",
    "critical_trade_share_pct",
    "product_concentration_hhi",
    "top1_product_share_pct",
    "top3_product_share_pct",
    "risk_driver_labels",
    "attention_level",
    "primary_risk_reason"
  ],
  "columnTypes": {
    "exporter_iso3": "string",
    "importer_iso3": "string",
    "all_history_lane_count": "uint64",
    "current_lane_count": "uint64",
    "current_product_count": "uint64",
    "first_observed_last_year": "uint16",
    "latest_data_year": "uint16",
    "current_trade_usd": "float64",
    "attention_trade_usd": "float64",
    "critical_trade_usd": "float64",
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": "float64",
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": "float64",
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": "float64",
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": "float64",
    "access_friction_trade_usd": "float64",
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": "float64",
    "critical_lane_count": "uint64",
    "high_attention_lane_count": "uint64",
    "high_volatility_lane_count": "uint64",
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": "uint64",
    "declining_demand_lane_count": "uint64",
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": "uint64",
    "access_friction_lane_count": "uint64",
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": "float64",
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": "float64",
    "product_hhi_numerator": "float64",
    "top3_product_trade_usd": "float64",
    "top_product_hs6": "string",
    "top_product_trade_usd": "float64",
    "top_product_description": "string",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "string",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "string",
    "distance_km": "float64",
    "shares_land_border": "uint8",
    "shares_official_language": "uint8",
    "common_spoken_language_score": "float64",
    "has_reported_fta": "uint8",
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": "float64",
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": "float64",
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": "float64",
    "tariff_advantage_pp": "float64",
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": "float64",
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": "float64",
    "buyer_population_latest": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "string",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": "float64",
    "critical_trade_share_pct": "float64",
    "product_concentration_hhi": "float64",
    "top1_product_share_pct": "float64",
    "top3_product_share_pct": "float64",
    "risk_driver_labels": "List",
    "attention_level": "string",
    "primary_risk_reason": "string"
  },
  "rows": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AFG",
      "importer_iso3": "PAK",
      "all_history_lane_count": 101,
      "current_lane_count": 39,
      "current_product_count": 39,
      "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "current_trade_usd": 562446431.8550471,
      "attention_trade_usd": 327006927.096674,
      "critical_trade_usd": 142064342.91921613,
      "high_volatility_trade_usd": 443330686.94265234,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 163287209.04623032,
      "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
      "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 330124058.94752663,
      "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
      "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
      "critical_lane_count": 4,
      "high_attention_lane_count": 16,
      "high_volatility_lane_count": 26,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15,
      "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
      "concentrated_market_lane_count": 34,
      "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
      "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1392672536316568,
      "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.99835925414287,
      "product_hhi_numerator": 57430856681505890,
      "top3_product_trade_usd": 323885174.8856641,
      "top_product_hs6": "520100",
      "top_product_trade_usd": 215520598.98956868,
      "top_product_description": "Cotton: not carded or combed",
      "top_attention_product_hs6": "270119",
      "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "distance_km": 374.6521911621094,
      "shares_land_border": 1,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03839999809861183,
      "has_reported_fta": 0,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 39.78278075050506,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.086055102424254,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.960320541414142,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 35.125734561010105,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
      "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538,
      "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442,
      "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "attention_trade_share_pct": 58.140101630327315,
      "critical_trade_share_pct": 25.258288589486288,
      "product_concentration_hhi": 1815.4444415855664,
      "top1_product_share_pct": 38.31842230356834,
      "top3_product_share_pct": 57.58507060262325,
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_markets"
      ],
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AGO",
      "importer_iso3": "BGD",
      "all_history_lane_count": 10,
      "current_lane_count": 2,
      "current_product_count": 2,
      "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "current_trade_usd": 37836888.91,
      "attention_trade_usd": 37836888.91,
      "critical_trade_usd": 30463499.009999994,
      "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7373389.9,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 30463499.009999994,
      "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
      "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 37836888.91,
      "access_friction_trade_usd": 37836888.91,
      "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
      "critical_lane_count": 1,
      "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
      "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
      "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
      "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
      "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
      "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7778934234541063,
      "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 60.524375598818715,
      "product_hhi_numerator": 982391650549692.6,
      "top3_product_trade_usd": 37836888.91,
      "top_product_hs6": "271111",
      "top_product_trade_usd": 30463499.009999994,
      "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas",
      "top_attention_product_hs6": "271111",
      "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "distance_km": 9121.09765625,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
      "has_reported_fta": 0,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761903,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 67.25363404761903,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
      "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 416264.942893,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2503,
      "buyer_population_latest": 166303.497,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.0864745482300355,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.017573535128394,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0276157929608232,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.848000000000003,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.520000000000003,
      "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
      "critical_trade_share_pct": 80.51269511735339,
      "product_concentration_hhi": 6862.049126649123,
      "top1_product_share_pct": 80.51269511735339,
      "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_product_mix",
        "concentrated_buyer_markets",
        "market_access_friction"
      ],
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AGO",
      "importer_iso3": "CAN",
      "all_history_lane_count": 10,
      "current_lane_count": 2,
      "current_product_count": 2,
      "first_observed_last_year": 2006,
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "current_trade_usd": 376342679.43469095,
      "attention_trade_usd": 376208585.5739624,
      "critical_trade_usd": 376208585.5739624,
      "high_volatility_trade_usd": 376208585.5739624,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 376208585.5739624,
      "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
      "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 376208585.5739624,
      "access_friction_trade_usd": 376342679.43469095,
      "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
      "critical_lane_count": 1,
      "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
      "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
      "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
      "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
      "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
      "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.104988487972561,
      "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 89.9440806544225,
      "product_hhi_numerator": 141532917840724860,
      "top3_product_trade_usd": 376342679.43469095,
      "top_product_hs6": "270900",
      "top_product_trade_usd": 376208585.5739624,
      "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
      "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "distance_km": 10904.939453125,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01600000075995922,
      "has_reported_fta": 0,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.283350628130507,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545458,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.780822528418182,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.732227520127276,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
      "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051,
      "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016,
      "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.9643692124077,
      "critical_trade_share_pct": 99.9643692124077,
      "product_concentration_hhi": 9992.876381587588,
      "top1_product_share_pct": 99.9643692124077,
      "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_product_mix",
        "concentrated_buyer_markets",
        "market_access_friction"
      ],
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AGO",
      "importer_iso3": "COG",
      "all_history_lane_count": 20,
      "current_lane_count": 12,
      "current_product_count": 12,
      "first_observed_last_year": 2008,
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "current_trade_usd": 75583591.64044954,
      "attention_trade_usd": 73910601.97471811,
      "critical_trade_usd": 33199033.32488618,
      "high_volatility_trade_usd": 74987166.82832557,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 35630681.70451684,
      "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
      "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 67922784.94394964,
      "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
      "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 75583591.64044954,
      "critical_lane_count": 1,
      "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
      "high_volatility_lane_count": 11,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6,
      "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
      "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
      "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
      "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2654389821604228,
      "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 61.76146135952459,
      "product_hhi_numerator": 2217119766507996.2,
      "top3_product_trade_usd": 69660106.325606,
      "top_product_hs6": "890190",
      "top_product_trade_usd": 33199033.32488618,
      "top_product_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
      "top_attention_product_hs6": "890190",
      "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "distance_km": 556.9466552734375,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.93313733575757,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.93313733575757,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 49.5,
      "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12523.961677,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2214,
      "buyer_population_latest": 5657.017,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.378765721360643,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.04968454334934869,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.429657428908505,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.43,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 38.572,
      "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
      "attention_trade_share_pct": 97.7865702999537,
      "critical_trade_share_pct": 43.92359850113194,
      "product_concentration_hhi": 3880.9147546681656,
      "top1_product_share_pct": 43.92359850113194,
      "top3_product_share_pct": 92.16300100817979,
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_product_mix",
        "concentrated_buyer_markets",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ],
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "AGO",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "all_history_lane_count": 33,
      "current_lane_count": 8,
      "current_product_count": 8,
      "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "current_trade_usd": 103919198.73188928,
      "attention_trade_usd": 102406080.3255967,
      "critical_trade_usd": 54209598.99606925,
      "high_volatility_trade_usd": 48842973.90787449,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 102443878.31825201,
      "declining_demand_trade_usd": 182605.75221520587,
      "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 54965646.865514,
      "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
      "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
      "critical_lane_count": 1,
      "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
      "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
      "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
      "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
      "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
      "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
      "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8762971544708914,
      "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 84.79894013723964,
      "product_hhi_numerator": 5262406173772048,
      "top3_product_trade_usd": 103162128.19504146,
      "top_product_hs6": "271111",
      "top_product_trade_usd": 54209598.99606925,
      "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas",
      "top_attention_product_hs6": "271111",
      "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "distance_km": 6738.35205078125,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
      "has_reported_fta": 0,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.134667402647827,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.8782636827160495,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.893346629588543,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.984917053127507,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
      "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4223116.205969,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 50802,
      "buyer_population_latest": 83129.288,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802,
      "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.54394719670962,
      "critical_trade_share_pct": 52.165143359053026,
      "product_concentration_hhi": 4872.959329875398,
      "top1_product_share_pct": 52.165143359053026,
      "top3_product_share_pct": 99.27148154904366,
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "concentrated_product_mix",
        "concentrated_buyer_markets"
      ],
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks"
    },
    {
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