{
  "dataset": "Global Import-Export Lane Risk Monitor (1995-2024)",
  "description": "A detailed exporter-importer route view for HS6 products, combining buyer demand, export position, competition, tariffs, market access, and labeled risk indicators.",
  "coverage": "1995-2024 annual observations where available",
  "rowMeaning": "one exporter-importer route and HS6 product",
  "includes": [
    "Buyer imports and exporter sales/share measures",
    "Demand, competition, volatility, and drawdown labels",
    "Tariffs, agreements, and selected buyer-market context"
  ],
  "metricDefinitions": [
    "HS6 codes identify products at the six-digit Harmonized System level.",
    "CAGR is the compound annual growth rate across a multi-year period.",
    "Year-over-year growth compares a value with the previous year; a negative percentage indicates a decline.",
    "Fields marked USD are monetary values denominated in US dollars.",
    "Count fields report the number of items named in the field, such as products, partners, or routes.",
    "Values ending in pp are percentage-point changes.",
    "Values ending in pct are percentages.",
    "Country fields ending in ISO3 use three-letter ISO 3166-1 country codes."
  ],
  "columns": [
    "exporter_iso3",
    "importer_iso3",
    "hs_code",
    "hs_description",
    "hs_chapter",
    "hs_heading",
    "price_range_label",
    "trade_type_label",
    "substitution_elasticity",
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd",
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd",
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd",
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct",
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct",
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct",
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct",
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd",
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest",
    "buyer_population_latest",
    "buyer_investment_rate",
    "buyer_savings_rate",
    "buyer_edu_secondary",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct",
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct",
    "exports_latest_usd",
    "exports_avg_usd",
    "exports_peak_usd",
    "share_latest_pct",
    "share_avg_pct",
    "share_peak_pct",
    "share_change_1y_pp",
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr",
    "cagr_full_pct",
    "yoy_avg_pct",
    "yoy_latest_pct",
    "trend_consistency_pct",
    "exports_proj_3y_usd",
    "exports_proj_5y_usd",
    "your_share_gap_pp",
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd",
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd",
    "peer_best_share_pct",
    "peer_top_exporter",
    "num_suppliers_latest",
    "buyer_herfindahl_index",
    "distance_km",
    "shares_official_language",
    "common_spoken_language_score",
    "has_wto_reported_fta",
    "buyer_is_eu_member",
    "buyer_biz_entry_days",
    "shared_legal_system",
    "shared_religion",
    "shares_land_border",
    "buyer_is_wto_member",
    "lane_volatility_cv",
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct",
    "signal_flag",
    "lane_data_years",
    "lane_last_year",
    "access_data_year",
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct",
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct",
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct",
    "tariff_advantage_pp",
    "rta_coverage_ratio",
    "buyer_macro_latest_year",
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct",
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct",
    "current_below_peak_usd",
    "current_below_peak_pct",
    "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct",
    "share_change_all_pp",
    "volatility_label",
    "drawdown_label",
    "competition_label",
    "demand_label",
    "access_label",
    "macro_resilience_label",
    "risk_driver_labels",
    "risk_driver_count",
    "attention_level",
    "primary_risk_reason"
  ],
  "columnTypes": {
    "exporter_iso3": "string",
    "importer_iso3": "string",
    "hs_code": "string",
    "hs_description": "string",
    "hs_chapter": "string",
    "hs_heading": "string",
    "price_range_label": "string",
    "trade_type_label": "string",
    "substitution_elasticity": "float64",
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": "float64",
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": "float64",
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": "float64",
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": "float64",
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": "float64",
    "buyer_population_latest": "float64",
    "buyer_investment_rate": "float64",
    "buyer_savings_rate": "float64",
    "buyer_edu_secondary": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": "float64",
    "exports_latest_usd": "float64",
    "exports_avg_usd": "float64",
    "exports_peak_usd": "float64",
    "share_latest_pct": "float64",
    "share_avg_pct": "float64",
    "share_peak_pct": "float64",
    "share_change_1y_pp": "float64",
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": "float64",
    "cagr_full_pct": "float64",
    "yoy_avg_pct": "float64",
    "yoy_latest_pct": "float64",
    "trend_consistency_pct": "float64",
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": "float64",
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": "float64",
    "your_share_gap_pp": "float64",
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": "float64",
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": "float64",
    "peer_best_share_pct": "float64",
    "peer_top_exporter": "string",
    "num_suppliers_latest": "uint16",
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": "float64",
    "distance_km": "float64",
    "shares_official_language": "uint8",
    "common_spoken_language_score": "float64",
    "has_wto_reported_fta": "uint8",
    "buyer_is_eu_member": "uint8",
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": "float64",
    "shared_legal_system": "uint8",
    "shared_religion": "uint8",
    "shares_land_border": "uint8",
    "buyer_is_wto_member": "uint8",
    "lane_volatility_cv": "float64",
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": "float64",
    "signal_flag": "string",
    "lane_data_years": "uint16",
    "lane_last_year": "uint16",
    "access_data_year": "uint16",
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": "float64",
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": "float64",
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": "float64",
    "tariff_advantage_pp": "float64",
    "rta_coverage_ratio": "float64",
    "buyer_macro_latest_year": "uint16",
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": "float64",
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": "float64",
    "current_below_peak_usd": "float64",
    "current_below_peak_pct": "float64",
    "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": "float64",
    "share_change_all_pp": "float64",
    "volatility_label": "string",
    "drawdown_label": "string",
    "competition_label": "string",
    "demand_label": "string",
    "access_label": "string",
    "macro_resilience_label": "string",
    "risk_driver_labels": "List",
    "risk_driver_count": "uint8",
    "attention_level": "string",
    "primary_risk_reason": "string"
  },
  "rows": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CZE",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "401120",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries",
      "hs_chapter": "40",
      "hs_heading": "4011",
      "price_range_label": "Low price range",
      "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
      "substitution_elasticity": -8.5698128,
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 671733331.1548014,
      "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 414954280.28510386,
      "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 671733331.1548014,
      "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 3.1357,
      "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 3.9973,
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 8.1458,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
      "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 736926320.8,
      "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 783866639.81,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334,
      "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569,
      "buyer_investment_rate": 17.85,
      "buyer_savings_rate": 15.56,
      "buyer_edu_secondary": 91.71,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 3500289.55,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 50909.77,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 7.55,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 9.84,
      "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 2.12,
      "exports_latest_usd": 25711531.28352635,
      "exports_avg_usd": 12179703.456571268,
      "exports_peak_usd": 27788793.77700293,
      "share_latest_pct": 3.827639643744449,
      "share_avg_pct": 2.7580871515545753,
      "share_peak_pct": 5.442508900811252,
      "share_change_1y_pp": 0.9542170994692261,
      "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.104265,
      "cagr_full_pct": 8.8374,
      "yoy_avg_pct": 20.8589,
      "yoy_latest_pct": 44.0593,
      "trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276,
      "exports_proj_3y_usd": 33148354.6,
      "exports_proj_5y_usd": 39266120.81,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 14.0507,
      "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 103543435.52,
      "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 110138887.14,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 17.87835714412749,
      "peer_top_exporter": "CHN",
      "num_suppliers_latest": 47,
      "buyer_herfindahl_index": 743.39,
      "distance_km": 1036.988037109375,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0.26024329662323,
      "has_wto_reported_fta": 1,
      "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
      "shared_legal_system": 0,
      "shared_religion": 0,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5655600934580889,
      "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 68.8620329331804,
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "lane_last_year": 2024,
      "access_data_year": 2024,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626,
      "current_below_peak_usd": 2077262.4934765808,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.475180499542421,
      "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 111.10145559130432,
      "share_change_all_pp": 3.12795,
      "volatility_label": "Variable",
      "drawdown_label": "Recovered after a severe historical decline",
      "competition_label": "Competitive buyer market",
      "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing",
      "access_label": "Reported FTA available",
      "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "risk_driver_labels": [],
      "risk_driver_count": 0,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CZE",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "401180",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines",
      "hs_chapter": "40",
      "hs_heading": "4011",
      "price_range_label": null,
      "trade_type_label": null,
      "substitution_elasticity": null,
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123878249.85234493,
      "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 80591767.45909953,
      "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 145316710.89312604,
      "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 4.1156,
      "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 9.6385,
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.5836,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
      "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 139811367.68,
      "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 151556336.79,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334,
      "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569,
      "buyer_investment_rate": 17.85,
      "buyer_savings_rate": 15.56,
      "buyer_edu_secondary": 91.71,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 3500289.55,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 50909.77,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 7.55,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 9.84,
      "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 2.12,
      "exports_latest_usd": 4191213.6547762495,
      "exports_avg_usd": 2520887.456350467,
      "exports_peak_usd": 6343026.682511253,
      "share_latest_pct": 3.3833329577806532,
      "share_avg_pct": 2.9794297287443716,
      "share_peak_pct": 5.784945241322245,
      "share_change_1y_pp": 0.9293028020940328,
      "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.108487,
      "cagr_full_pct": 14.1078,
      "yoy_avg_pct": 24.4962,
      "yoy_latest_pct": 19.141,
      "trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
      "exports_proj_3y_usd": 6227105.9,
      "exports_proj_5y_usd": 8108064.96,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 13.7077,
      "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 19164957.58,
      "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 20774925.63,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 17.091057800197078,
      "peer_top_exporter": "IND",
      "num_suppliers_latest": 39,
      "buyer_herfindahl_index": 891.9,
      "distance_km": 1036.988037109375,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0.26024329662323,
      "has_wto_reported_fta": 1,
      "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
      "shared_legal_system": 0,
      "shared_religion": 0,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6444954984196523,
      "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 75.9573751215192,
      "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "lane_last_year": 2024,
      "access_data_year": 2024,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626,
      "current_below_peak_usd": 2151813.0277350037,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.924073402810976,
      "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 66.25945137764869,
      "share_change_all_pp": 3.25461,
      "volatility_label": "Variable",
      "drawdown_label": "Still 25-50% below historical peak",
      "competition_label": "Competitive buyer market",
      "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently",
      "access_label": "Reported FTA available",
      "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "risk_driver_labels": [],
      "risk_driver_count": 0,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CZE",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "401699",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), articles n.e.s. in heading no. 4016, of non-cellular rubber",
      "hs_chapter": "40",
      "hs_heading": "4016",
      "price_range_label": "Low price range",
      "trade_type_label": "Two-way vertical trade",
      "substitution_elasticity": -5.1916122,
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 419438018.6531786,
      "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 332267845.7316873,
      "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 498553926.0003061,
      "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 3.8609,
      "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 4.6378,
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 0.0764,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172,
      "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 469920206.01,
      "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 506907056.75,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334,
      "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569,
      "buyer_investment_rate": 17.85,
      "buyer_savings_rate": 15.56,
      "buyer_edu_secondary": 91.71,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 3500289.55,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 50909.77,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 7.55,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 9.84,
      "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 2.12,
      "exports_latest_usd": 12052643.816321846,
      "exports_avg_usd": 7529878.41166291,
      "exports_peak_usd": 17366810.65933992,
      "share_latest_pct": 2.873522017632797,
      "share_avg_pct": 2.1305043758057964,
      "share_peak_pct": 4.176802520906726,
      "share_change_1y_pp": -0.3807334803831859,
      "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.097811,
      "cagr_full_pct": 20.6778,
      "yoy_avg_pct": 47.0007,
      "yoy_latest_pct": -11.6321,
      "trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
      "exports_proj_3y_usd": 21181870.35,
      "exports_proj_5y_usd": 30847428.11,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 13.1338,
      "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 61718594.37,
      "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 66576390.24,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 16.00736763186895,
      "peer_top_exporter": "CHN",
      "num_suppliers_latest": 96,
      "buyer_herfindahl_index": 898.76,
      "distance_km": 1036.988037109375,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0.26024329662323,
      "has_wto_reported_fta": 1,
      "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
      "shared_legal_system": 0,
      "shared_religion": 0,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5579778136796176,
      "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 63.80379735717976,
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "lane_last_year": 2024,
      "access_data_year": 2024,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626,
      "current_below_peak_usd": 5314166.843018074,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.599555366028593,
      "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 60.064255455356296,
      "share_change_all_pp": 2.9343299999999997,
      "volatility_label": "Variable",
      "drawdown_label": "Still 25-50% below historical peak",
      "competition_label": "Competitive buyer market",
      "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing",
      "access_label": "Reported FTA available",
      "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "risk_driver_labels": [],
      "risk_driver_count": 0,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CZE",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "441510",
      "hs_description": "Wood: cases, boxes, crates, drums, similar packings and cable-drums",
      "hs_chapter": "44",
      "hs_heading": "4415",
      "price_range_label": "Low price range",
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