{
  "dataset": "China risk lanes by partner and HS6",
  "description": "Trade-route risk indicators for exports from China, including demand, concentration, access, volatility, and drawdown measures.",
  "rowMeaning": "one exporter, importer, and HS6 product lane",
  "columns": [
    "exporter_iso3",
    "importer_iso3",
    "hs_code",
    "hs_description",
    "hs_chapter",
    "hs_heading",
    "price_range_label",
    "trade_type_label",
    "substitution_elasticity",
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd",
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd",
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd",
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct",
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct",
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct",
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct",
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd",
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest",
    "buyer_population_latest",
    "buyer_investment_rate",
    "buyer_savings_rate",
    "buyer_edu_secondary",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct",
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct",
    "exports_latest_usd",
    "exports_avg_usd",
    "exports_peak_usd",
    "share_latest_pct",
    "share_avg_pct",
    "share_peak_pct",
    "share_change_1y_pp",
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr",
    "cagr_full_pct",
    "yoy_avg_pct",
    "yoy_latest_pct",
    "trend_consistency_pct",
    "exports_proj_3y_usd",
    "exports_proj_5y_usd",
    "your_share_gap_pp",
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd",
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd",
    "peer_best_share_pct",
    "peer_top_exporter",
    "num_suppliers_latest",
    "buyer_herfindahl_index",
    "distance_km",
    "shares_official_language",
    "common_spoken_language_score",
    "has_wto_reported_fta",
    "buyer_is_eu_member",
    "buyer_biz_entry_days",
    "shared_legal_system",
    "shared_religion",
    "shares_land_border",
    "buyer_is_wto_member",
    "lane_volatility_cv",
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct",
    "signal_flag",
    "lane_data_years",
    "lane_last_year",
    "access_data_year",
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct",
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct",
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct",
    "tariff_advantage_pp",
    "rta_coverage_ratio",
    "buyer_macro_latest_year",
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct",
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct",
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct",
    "current_below_peak_usd",
    "current_below_peak_pct",
    "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct",
    "share_change_all_pp",
    "volatility_label",
    "drawdown_label",
    "competition_label",
    "demand_label",
    "access_label",
    "macro_resilience_label",
    "risk_driver_labels",
    "risk_driver_count",
    "attention_level",
    "primary_risk_reason"
  ],
  "rows": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "851761",
      "hs_description": "Base stations",
      "hs_chapter": "85",
      "hs_heading": "8517",
      "price_range_label": null,
      "trade_type_label": null,
      "substitution_elasticity": -7.6662626,
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14567326.845,
      "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 8786067.68752123,
      "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 46408631.77481076,
      "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 57.2359,
      "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 467.0554,
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 109.3637,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 66.6667,
      "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 28451810.24,
      "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 44455953.51,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 20116.137326,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 517,
      "buyer_population_latest": 39835.426,
      "buyer_investment_rate": 21.38,
      "buyer_savings_rate": 3.75,
      "buyer_edu_secondary": 37.42,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 28756.29,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 654.77,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 26.65,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 42.95,
      "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 12.87,
      "exports_latest_usd": 14212571,
      "exports_avg_usd": 8888968.671265168,
      "exports_peak_usd": 40976073,
      "share_latest_pct": 97.56471555299959,
      "share_avg_pct": 79.3530481459001,
      "share_peak_pct": 97.56471555299959,
      "share_change_1y_pp": 0.3929604394522386,
      "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.638554,
      "cagr_full_pct": 58.0396,
      "yoy_avg_pct": 20505.8102,
      "yoy_latest_pct": 110.2104,
      "trend_consistency_pct": 66.6667,
      "exports_proj_3y_usd": 27758927.73,
      "exports_proj_5y_usd": 43373324.58,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 0,
      "addressable_proj_3y_usd": null,
      "addressable_proj_5y_usd": null,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 97.56471555299959,
      "peer_top_exporter": "CHN",
      "num_suppliers_latest": 3,
      "buyer_herfindahl_index": 9523.89,
      "distance_km": 4180.4375,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
      "has_wto_reported_fta": 0,
      "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
      "shared_legal_system": 0,
      "shared_religion": 0,
      "shares_land_border": 1,
      "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0785460954838628,
      "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 95.66184392535615,
      "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
      "lane_data_years": 22,
      "lane_last_year": 2024,
      "access_data_year": 2024,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
      "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.8172621057140348,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.58436239429053,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.4121484487080735,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.442,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 3.722,
      "current_below_peak_usd": 26763502,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.31495099591412,
      "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 59.88998865463571,
      "share_change_all_pp": 14.048188,
      "volatility_label": "Highly volatile",
      "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak",
      "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market",
      "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing",
      "access_label": "Standard market access",
      "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ],
      "risk_driver_count": 5,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "hs_chapter": "85",
      "hs_heading": "8517",
      "price_range_label": null,
      "trade_type_label": null,
      "substitution_elasticity": -3.6319895,
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13880835.909590961,
      "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 24792273.030635677,
      "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 93610276.98648126,
      "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 38.2892,
      "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 2731.3027,
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -32.0062,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241,
      "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 27111007.64,
      "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 42360949.43,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 20116.137326,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 517,
      "buyer_population_latest": 39835.426,
      "buyer_investment_rate": 21.38,
      "buyer_savings_rate": 3.75,
      "buyer_edu_secondary": 37.42,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 28756.29,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 654.77,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 26.65,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 42.95,
      "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 12.87,
      "exports_latest_usd": 10499044,
      "exports_avg_usd": 9803972.003979005,
      "exports_peak_usd": 51969416.00000001,
      "share_latest_pct": 75.63697221394055,
      "share_avg_pct": 32.742893806922574,
      "share_peak_pct": 75.63697221394055,
      "share_change_1y_pp": 47.398326521920204,
      "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 3.18488,
      "cagr_full_pct": 55.7962,
      "yoy_avg_pct": 81362.6227,
      "yoy_latest_pct": 82.1208,
      "trend_consistency_pct": 52.1739,
      "exports_proj_3y_usd": 20505945.31,
      "exports_proj_5y_usd": 32040539.55,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 0,
      "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 0,
      "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 0,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 75.63697221394057,
      "peer_top_exporter": "CHN",
      "num_suppliers_latest": 17,
      "buyer_herfindahl_index": 5910.86,
      "distance_km": 4180.4375,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
      "has_wto_reported_fta": 0,
      "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
      "shared_legal_system": 0,
      "shared_religion": 0,
      "shares_land_border": 1,
      "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1215059949193684,
      "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 97.34999523565936,
      "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
      "lane_data_years": 24,
      "lane_last_year": 2024,
      "access_data_year": 2024,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323233,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
      "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.8172621057140348,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.58436239429053,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.4121484487080735,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.442,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 3.722,
      "current_below_peak_usd": 41470372.00000001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.79764867859974,
      "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 7.089697887130808,
      "share_change_all_pp": 76.43712000000001,
      "volatility_label": "Highly volatile",
      "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak",
      "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market",
      "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently",
      "access_label": "Standard market access",
      "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ],
      "risk_driver_count": 5,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "AGO",
      "hs_code": "630900",
      "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles",
      "hs_chapter": "63",
      "hs_heading": "6309",
      "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
      "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
      "substitution_elasticity": -0.44171011,
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35104789.136394724,
      "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 52466853.24439515,
      "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 124775333.07882936,
      "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 4.9225,
      "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 12.8114,
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -53.5994,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
      "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 40548223.7,
      "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 44638419.63,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 72546.985709,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2138,
      "buyer_population_latest": 33933.613,
      "buyer_investment_rate": 28.48,
      "buyer_savings_rate": 37.47,
      "buyer_edu_secondary": 40.76,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 102739.21,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 2518.86,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 17.81,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 41.62,
      "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 20.2,
      "exports_latest_usd": 25605757.549617127,
      "exports_avg_usd": 17625128.483399026,
      "exports_peak_usd": 60879520.331143744,
      "share_latest_pct": 72.94092395806608,
      "share_avg_pct": 25.09607126034501,
      "share_peak_pct": 72.94092395806608,
      "share_change_1y_pp": 8.293809152550864,
      "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 3.628028,
      "cagr_full_pct": 31.0204,
      "yoy_avg_pct": 48.723,
      "yoy_latest_pct": -47.6465,
      "trend_consistency_pct": 70,
      "exports_proj_3y_usd": 50011245.21,
      "exports_proj_5y_usd": 78142570.65,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 0,
      "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 0,
      "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 0,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 72.94092395806611,
      "peer_top_exporter": "CHN",
      "num_suppliers_latest": 78,
      "buyer_herfindahl_index": 5397.68,
      "distance_km": 11769.5146484375,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
      "has_wto_reported_fta": 0,
      "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 36,
      "shared_legal_system": 0,
      "shared_religion": 0,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.142208708597235,
      "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 57.94027710740988,
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "lane_data_years": 21,
      "lane_last_year": 2024,
      "access_data_year": 2024,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.366107445656567,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.366107445656567,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
      "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5807105031223205,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3444182935718363,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1933600922901206,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 28.589999999999996,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 37.298,
      "current_below_peak_usd": 35273762.78152662,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.94027710740988,
      "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 45.279834832041054,
      "share_change_all_pp": 76.188588,
      "volatility_label": "Highly volatile",
      "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak",
      "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market",
      "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently",
      "access_label": "Long-distance market without reported FTA",
      "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
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        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ],
      "risk_driver_count": 5,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "AGO",
      "hs_code": "690490",
      "hs_description": "Ceramic flooring blocks, supports or filler tiles and the like (excluding building bricks)",
      "hs_chapter": "69",
      "hs_heading": "6904",
      "price_range_label": "High price range",
      "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
      "substitution_elasticity": -10.029481,
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16393318.635023402,
      "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 8654003.683278289,
      "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 47898932.44199236,
      "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 20.0614,
      "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 110.5953,
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -65.7752,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
      "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 28371133.05,
      "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 40896224.28,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 72546.985709,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2138,
      "buyer_population_latest": 33933.613,
      "buyer_investment_rate": 28.48,
      "buyer_savings_rate": 37.47,
      "buyer_edu_secondary": 40.76,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 102739.21,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 2518.86,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 17.81,
      "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 41.62,
      "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 20.2,
      "exports_latest_usd": 16378936.31789898,
      "exports_avg_usd": 10386026.533804128,
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      "share_latest_pct": 99.91226720199474,
      "share_avg_pct": 68.29533455917314,
      "share_peak_pct": 99.91226720199474,
      "share_change_1y_pp": 0.2872944526390313,
      "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 4.125112,
      "cagr_full_pct": 32.2807,
      "yoy_avg_pct": 108.5968,
      "yoy_latest_pct": -65.6765,
      "trend_consistency_pct": 73.913,
      "exports_proj_3y_usd": 31990110,
      "exports_proj_5y_usd": 49984546.87,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 0,
      "addressable_proj_3y_usd": null,
      "addressable_proj_5y_usd": null,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 99.91226720199474,
      "peer_top_exporter": "CHN",
      "num_suppliers_latest": 7,
      "buyer_herfindahl_index": 9982.46,
      "distance_km": 11769.5146484375,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
      "has_wto_reported_fta": 0,
      "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
      "buyer_biz_entry_days": 36,
      "shared_legal_system": 0,
      "shared_religion": 0,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1597261183722112,
      "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 89.06826648396226,
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "lane_data_years": 24,
      "lane_last_year": 2024,
      "access_data_year": 2024,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.366107445656567,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.366107445656567,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
      "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
      "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5807105031223205,
      "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3444182935718363,
      "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1933600922901206,
      "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 28.589999999999996,
      "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 37.298,
      "current_below_peak_usd": 31340362.074668206,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.6764938512797,
      "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 57.70166063594493,
      "share_change_all_pp": 99.00268799999999,
      "volatility_label": "Highly volatile",
      "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak",
      "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market",
      "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently",
      "access_label": "Long-distance market without reported FTA",
      "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ],
      "risk_driver_count": 5,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak"
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "CHN",
      "importer_iso3": "AGO",
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